ASSESSMENT OF PASSIVE DEORBITING OF THE KAZAKH EARTH REMOTE SENSING SATELLITES KAZEOSAT-1 AND KAZEOSAT-2

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.37943/25KZEM7835

Keywords:

deorbiting, spacecraft, Earth remote sensing, KazEOSat-1, KazEOSat-2, satellite, orbit

Abstract

In this work, passive deorbiting of the Kazakh Earth remote sensing satellites KazEOSat-1 and KazEOSat-2, operating in sun-synchronous low Earth orbits and not equipped with onboard deorbiting systems, is investigated. The object of the study is the dynamics of their orbital motion and the processes of aerodynamic drag during the final stage of operation. Using numerical modeling, time-dependent variations of the main orbital elements were obtained, the rates of orbital altitude decay were estimated, and possible timelines for passive deorbiting were evaluated. In addition, a sensitivity analysis of the results to variations in aerodynamic parameters was performed. It was established that the differences in the orbital evolution of the KazEOSat-1 and KazEOSat-2 spacecraft are mainly determined by the combination of orbital altitude and ballistic coefficient. In particular, the lower orbital altitude and smaller ballistic coefficient of KazEOSat-2 lead to more intense aerodynamic drag and, consequently, to accelerated orbital decay. The orbital degradation of KazEOSat-1 occurs at a significantly slower rate. A distinctive feature of the presented results is their applicability to real operating spacecraft that are not equipped with deorbiting systems, as well as the consideration of uncertainties in aerodynamic characteristics, which made it possible to obtain well-grounded estimates of passive deorbiting timelines. The results of the study can be used in planning the end-of-life phase of Earth remote sensing spacecraft, in assessing the risks of non-compliance with international recommendations on orbital deorbiting timelines, and in substantiating the need for passive or active deorbiting systems in the development of future spacecraft of a similar type.

Author Biographies

Aigul Kulakayeva, International Information Technology University

PhD, Associate Professor of the Radio Engineering, Electronics and Telecommunications Department

Berik Zhumazhanov , L.N. Gumilyov Eurasian National University

PhD student, Department of Space Engineering and Technologies

Head of the Payload and R&D Department, Ghalam LLP

Yevgeniya Daineko, Satbayev University

PhD, Associate Professor, Director of the Institute of Automation and Information Technologies

PhD, Professor, Department of Computer Engineering, International Information Technology University

Aigul Nurlankyzy, International Information Technology University

PhD, Assistant Professor of the Department of Cyber Security

References

Zhumazhanov, B., Kulakayeva, A., Ashurov, A., Baktybekov, K., Zhetpisbayeva, A., Uskenbaev, D., Zhumazhanov, B., Zylgara, A., & Kargulova, A. (2024). Devising a deorbitation strategy for Kazakhstani’s KazEOSat-1 spacecraft. Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, 6(5 (132), 49–62. https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2024.319226

Mahapatra, Sukdev. (2025). Modeling Orbital Decay of Low-Earth Orbit Satellites due to Atmospheric Drag: A Simplified Analytical Approach. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2508.19549.

Rosengren, A. J., Skoulidou, D. K., Tsiganis, K., & Voyatzis, G. (2019). Dynamical cartography of Earth satellite orbits. Advances in Space Research, 63(1), 443–460. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2018.09.004

Smith, B. G. A., Capon, C. J., Brown, M., & Boyce, R. R. (2020). Ionospheric drag for accelerated deorbit from upper low Earth orbit. Acta Astronautica, 176, 520–530. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.actaastro.2020.07.007

Sánchez-Arriaga, G., Sanmartín, J. R., & Lorenzini, E. C. (2017). Comparison of technologies for deorbiting spacecraft from low-Earth orbit at end of mission. Acta Astronautica, 138, 536–542. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.actaastro.2016.12.004

Palla, C., & Kingston, J. (2016). Forecast analysis on satellites that need de-orbit technologies: Future scenarios for passive de-orbit devices. CEAS Space Journal, 8(3), 191–200. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12567-016-0120-x

Jackson, D. R., Bruinsma, S., Negrin, S., Stolle, C., Budd, C. J., Gonzalez, R. D., & Zhelavskaya, I. S. (2020). The space weather atmosphere models and indices (SWAMI) project: Overview and first results. Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 10, 18. https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2020019

Vielberg, K., Forootan, E., Lück, C., Löcher, A., Kusche, J., & Börger, K. (2018). Comparison of accelerometer data calibration methods used in thermospheric neutral density estimation. Annales Geophysicae, 36(3), 761–779. https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-36-761-2018

Niccolai, L., & Mengali, G. (2024). Decay time estimate for LEO spacecraft. Acta Astronautica, 225, 601-614. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.actaastro.2024.09.045

Walsh, J., Berthoud, L., & Allen, C. (2021). Drag reduction through shape optimisation for satellites in very low Earth orbit. Acta Astronautica, 179, 105–121. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.actaastro.2020.09.018

Alshamy, H. M., Makled, A. E. S., Elhalwagy, Y., & Hendy, H. (2019). Flight dynamic model for low Earth orbit satellites. In Proceedings of the 18th International Conference on Aerospace Sciences and Aviation Technology (pp. 1–12). Military Technical College. https://doi.org/10.1088/1757-899X/610/1/012100

Official website of JSC «NC «Qazaqstan Gharysh Sapary»». (n.d.). Retrieved December 9, 2025, from https://www.gharysh.kz/

Minister of Digital Development, Innovations, and Aerospace Industry of the Republic of Kazakhstan. (2025) Order No. 645/NQ dated December 12, 2025 [in Russian].

Innoter. (n.d.). Satellites [in Russian]. Retrieved December 9, 2025, from https://innoter.com/sputniki/

Inform.kz. (2017, April 30). Kazakh satellite KazEOSat-1 captured 370 thousand images from space [in Russian]. Retrieved December 12, 2025, from https://www.inform.kz/ru/kazahstanskiy-sputnik-kazeosat-1-otsnyal-370-tysyach-snimkov-iz-kosmosa_a3022221

N2YO.com. (n.d.). KAZEOSAT-1 satellite details (NORAD ID 39731). Retrieved December 12, 2025, from https://www.n2yo.com/satellite/?s=39731

Gunter’s Space Page. (n.d.). KazEOSat-1 / KazEOSat-2. Retrieved December 12, 2025, from https://space.skyrocket.de/doc_sdat/kazeosat-1.htm

eoPortal. (n.d.). KazEOSat-1. Retrieved December 12, 2025, from https://www.eoportal.org/satellite-missions/kazeosat-1

Sánchez-Arriaga, G., Borderes-Motta, G., & Chiabó, L. (2022). A code for the analysis of missions with electrodynamic tethers. Acta Astronautica, 198, 51–62. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.actaastro.2022.06.021

García Ortiz, J. J., & Sánchez-Arriaga, G. (2025). A severing rate model for tape tethers based on experimental ballistic equations. Advances in Space Research. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2025.03.014

Downloads

Published

2026-03-30

How to Cite

Kulakayeva, A., Zhumazhanov , B. ., Daineko, Y. ., & Nurlankyzy, A. (2026). ASSESSMENT OF PASSIVE DEORBITING OF THE KAZAKH EARTH REMOTE SENSING SATELLITES KAZEOSAT-1 AND KAZEOSAT-2. Scientific Journal of Astana IT University, 25. https://doi.org/10.37943/25KZEM7835

Issue

Section

Information Technologies